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Castellon B vs Patacona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon B play Patacona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Castellon B averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2 conceded. Patacona averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Castellon B won 3, Patacona won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 2, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Castellon B and 1.19 for Patacona. This points to a Castellon B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Castellon B
22%
Draws
26%
Patacona
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Castellon B picked up more points recently compared to Patacona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 20%
Patacona Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon B Patacona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Patacona
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Castellon B
2:5
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Patacona
1:4
Nov 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Castellon B
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Castellon B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Patacona Compare

Top Goalscorer Marti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon B 51 / 100
Patacona 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon B Patacona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Castellon B or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Castellon B attacking → ← attacking Patacona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Patacona let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Castellon B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Patacona lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 21
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Castellon B341841276:5858
2Roda341512752:3257
3La Nucia341511846:2456
4Castellonense341511838:3056
5Utiel341412838:3154
6Villarreal C341214855:3750
7Atzeneta341481236:3450
8Vall de Uxo3413101137:3649
9Soneja341114936:3447
10Atletico Saguntino341016841:3646
11Ontinyent 1931 CF3411121134:3545
12Levante B341351634:3944
13Jove341271536:4643
14Crevillente3410111334:4441
15Torrellano348151135:3939
16Benidorm349111436:5138
17Patacona345121735:5927
18Rayo Ibense34652323:5723