Sport Picks

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Castellon B vs SD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sancho D.
65' Event
Montero M.
67' Event
Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with SD Logrones advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Castellon B
30%
Draws
47%
SD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon B's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what SD Logrones have produced (0.6).
  • SD Logrones are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor SD Logrones, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 15%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon B SD Logrones
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Castellon B
1:0
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Castellon B vs SD Logrones
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Sancho D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celik A. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon B 23 / 100
SD Logrones 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon B SD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Logrones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellon B scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

SD Logrones let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Castellon B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon B VS SD Logrones
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon B

(Home)
21 Aug
Girona B
4 : 2
Castellon B
08 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Castellon B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
10 May
Castellon B
2 : 3
SD Logrones
03 May
Castellon B
4 : 2
Girona B
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SD Logrones

(Away)
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
10 May
Castellon B
2 : 3
SD Logrones
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Real Madrid C 3
CD Estepona 5
Castellon B 2
SD Logrones 4