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Stadium Background

Castellon II vs Alzira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon II play Alzira in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2007/2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Castellon II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Alzira averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Castellon II won 0, Alzira won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2008 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Castellon II and 1.11 for Alzira. This points to a Alzira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Castellon II
22%
Draws
48%
Alzira
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alzira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Castellon II picked up more points recently compared to Alzira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Castellon II Clean Sheet 21%
Alzira Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon II Alzira
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon II vs Alzira
0:1
Oct 6, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Castellon II
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon II 31 / 100
Alzira 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon II Alzira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alzira or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Castellon II attacking → ← attacking Alzira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon II scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Alzira let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Castellon II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alzira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alzira402310764:2879
2Valencia B402112766:2675
3La Nucia402191059:3272
4Catarroja CF402261260:3872
5Eldense401913854:3470
6Novelda CF401815758:3869
7Utiel4018101255:4364
8Villarreal C401671745:4755
9CD Onda4014111549:4653
10Jove4014111539:4553
11Burjassot4013131441:4152
12UD Pucol401561939:5351
13Crevillente4013111632:3550
14Castellon II401552040:5950
15Torrevieja4012131551:5549
16UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo401381943:5047
17Pego CF401381943:5947
18Thader401291937:5445
19Olimpic Xativa401272136:5343
20Ilicitano407122136:6533
21CD Alone de Guardamar40942734:8031