Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Camara O.
Assist: Alcazar L.
21'
21'
Sanchez C.
(Penalty)
24'
24'
Gerenabarrena B.
AI Match Summary
Castellon in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Burgos CF have won more games recently than Castellon.
- Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Castellon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Castellon Clean Sheet 68%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellon | Burgos CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Burgos CF
3:1
Nov 10, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Castellon
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Burgos CF
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Castellon
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castellon Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calatrava A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Burgos CF Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellon 95 / 100
Burgos CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellon Burgos CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellon scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Castellon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Burgos CF let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Castellon VS Burgos CF
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellon
(Home) 28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2 Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0 Sabadell
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3 Levante
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0 Sabadell
Page 1 of 3
Burgos CF
(Away) 03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1 Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0 Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2 Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0 Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1 Burgos CF
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2 Burgos CF
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0 Burgos CF
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0 Burgos CF
29 Jul
Unionistas de Salamanca
0 : 1 Burgos CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
