Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castellon vs CD Puertollano

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this Copa Federacion 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Castellon
30%
Draws
27%
CD Puertollano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon have won more games recently than CD Puertollano.
  • Castellon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Castellon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Castellon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon CD Puertollano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2014 Copa Federacion
Castellon vs CD Puertollano
2:0
Dec 3, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Puertollano vs Castellon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 85 / 100
CD Puertollano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon CD Puertollano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castellon scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Castellon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CD Puertollano conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 7

CD Puertollano

(Away)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Puertollano 1
Castellon 2
Osasuna B 8
Haro Deportivo 0
CD Gerena -
TBD -
Marbella 3
San Roque de Lepe 2
Varea 1
Arandina 3
Marino De Luanco 4
CD Boiro 4
Gijon B 1
Atletico Astorga 3
CD Tropezon 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Conquense 5
FC Cartagena SAD 0
CD Mostoles 5
Trival Valderas 3
Arroyo 1
Linares 3
Union Viera -
TBD -
Mercadal 3
Baleares 7
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Prat 1
Almudevar 3
Real Union 3
Amorebieta 1
1/8-finals
Castellon 3
Osasuna B 1
CD Gerena 2
Marbella 1
Arandina 2
CD Boiro 2
Atletico Astorga 3
CD Tropezon 4
Conquense 3
CD Mostoles 2
Linares 6
Union Viera 2
Baleares 2
Toledo 2
Almudevar 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Castellon 4
CD Gerena 3
Arandina 3
CD Tropezon 5
Conquense 0
Linares 3
Baleares 4
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Castellon 2
CD Tropezon 1
Linares 0
Real Union 2
Final
Castellon 0
Real Union 4