Sport Picks
Castellonense vs Atletico Saguntino
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 
Match Events
72'
72'
Garijo I.
89'
89'
Ferrer M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castellonense lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Saguntino.
- Win probability leans Castellonense's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellonense | Atletico Saguntino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.93 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Atletico Saguntino
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Castellonense
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Castellonense
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Atletico Saguntino
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castellonense Compare
Top Goalscorer Garijo I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Atletico Saguntino Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellonense 95 / 100
Atletico Saguntino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellonense Atletico Saguntino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellonense scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Atletico Saguntino let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Castellonense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Atletico Saguntino registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castellonense VS Atletico Saguntino
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 1
29% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellonense
(Home) 19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1 Castellonense
09 May
Castellonense
0 : 1 Atzeneta
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
09 May
Castellonense
0 : 1 Atzeneta
26 Apr
Castellonense
1 : 1 Atletico Saguntino
18 Apr
Castellonense
2 : 3 Ontinyent 1931 CF
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Saguntino
(Away) 23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1 Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0 Atletico Saguntino
09 Sept
Torrent
1 : 2 Atletico Saguntino
06 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
2 : 1 Levante B
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0 Atletico Saguntino
09 Sept
Torrent
1 : 2 Atletico Saguntino
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0 Atletico Saguntino
14 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1 Atletico Saguntino
17 May
La Nucia
3 : 1 Atletico Saguntino
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellonense | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56:30 | 67 |
| 2 | Atletico Saguntino | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:30 | 66 |
| 3 | Levante B | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 54:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Villarreal C | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | La Nucia | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 44:26 | 61 |
| 6 | CD Bunol | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 34:40 | 50 |
| 7 | Vall de Uxo | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31:29 | 49 |
| 8 | Ontinyent 1931 CF | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 32:30 | 48 |
| 9 | Torrellano | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Hercules B | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | 41 |
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32:45 | 40 |
| 13 | Crevillente | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 44:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Espanol de San Vicente | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Alzira | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32:49 | 31 |
| 18 | Recambios Colon | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 27:55 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
