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Castelo FC vs Colatina SE

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2014 game between Castelo FC and Colatina SE finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Castelo FC
6%
Draws
4%
Colatina SE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colatina SE haven't matched Castelo FC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Castelo FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 12%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Colatina SE
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Colatina SE
3:0
Feb 3, 2014 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Castelo FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 83 / 100
Colatina SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Colatina SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Castelo FC scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Colatina SE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Castelo FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castelo FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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Colatina SE

(Away)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)