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Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2014 game between Castelo FC and Linhares Futebol Clube finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Castelo FC
33%
Draws
27%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Castelo FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Castelo FC
3:1
May 18, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:0
Mar 30, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube
1:0
Jan 26, 2014 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Castelo FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 40 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Linhares Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Linhares Futebol Clube conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Castelo FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Linhares Futebol Clube
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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Linhares Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jul
GEL
0 : 4
Linhares Futebol Clube
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Oct
Serra
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
27 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Serra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)