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Castelvetro vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Castelvetro and Sangiovannese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelvetro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Castelvetro
20%
Draws
20%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castelvetro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Castelvetro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sangiovannese a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Castelvetro here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelvetro Sangiovannese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Sangiovannese
3:2
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Sangiovannese vs Castelvetro
1:3
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Sangiovannese
3:0
Oct 9, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Sangiovannese vs Castelvetro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelvetro 28 / 100
Sangiovannese 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelvetro Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiovannese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Castelvetro's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sangiovannese conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Sangiovannese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sangiovannese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelvetro

(Home)
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0
Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2
Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3
Castelvetro
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Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)