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Castillo CF vs Anguiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castillo CF in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Castillo CF
35%
Draws
25%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Anguiano average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Castillo CF's 1.28.
  • Castillo CF are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Castillo CF, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 18%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF Anguiano
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 15 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Anguiano vs Castillo CF
2:3
May 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Castillo CF vs Anguiano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 58 / 100
Anguiano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castillo CF found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (36 games).

Anguiano has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Castillo CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Anguiano
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 8

Anguiano

(Away)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Binissalem 1
Reus FC Reddis 0
TBD -
Atletico Monzon -
Villanovense 3
Teruel 3
TBD -
San Roque de Lepe -
Los Barrios 3
Manchego Ciudad Real 2
Mensajero 1
Amurrio Club 4
CD Tropezon 5
Candas CF 2
TBD -
C. Reyes -
CD Ourense 5
Tudelano 2
Portugalete 3
Universidad Oviedo 6
CD Alcala 2
Moratalla 0
TBD -
Caravaca -
Castillo CF 4
Anguiano 2
Llanes 0
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 1
Parla 1
TBD -
Mallorca B -
La Nucia 4
Motril 2
TBD -
Lagun Onak -
Real Avila 1
Almeria B 1
TBD -
RSD Alcala -
Cartagena La Union 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
Mexico 1
SD Noja 3
Hellin Deportivo 1
Montaneros 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Burgos CF 2
Elgoibar 1
Mutilvera 0
Mahones 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 1
TBD -
Tenerife B -
Torrevieja 1
Haro Deportivo 2
Yeclano 1
Cacereno 3
UM Escobedo 3
Zaragoza B 4
Santboia 0
SD Tenisca 1
L Hospitalet 3
Santanyi 4
CD Calahorra 0
Jerez Industrial 3
La Muela 2
Mirandes 7
Cerceda 2
Pena 3
Semi-finals
Binissalem 1
Atletico Monzon 0
Villanovense 2
San Roque de Lepe 5
Los Barrios 5
Amurrio Club 5
CD Tropezon 2
C. Reyes 3
CD Ourense 3
Universidad Oviedo 2
CD Alcala 0
Caravaca 4
Castillo CF 4
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 0
Mallorca B 3
La Nucia 1
Lagun Onak 1
Real Avila 3
RSD Alcala 5
Cartagena La Union 0
SD Noja 1
Hellin Deportivo 2
Izarra 2
Burgos CF 2
Mahones 3
Malaga B 5
Tenerife B 5
Haro Deportivo 1
Cacereno 4
Zaragoza B 2
SD Tenisca 3
Santanyi 0
Jerez Industrial 3
Mirandes 5
Pena 0
Final
Binissalem 1
San Roque de Lepe 2
Los Barrios 0
C. Reyes 2
CD Ourense 2
Caravaca 3
Castillo CF 2
Mallorca B 2
La Nucia 0
RSD Alcala 2
SD Noja 1
Izarra 2
Mahones 3
Tenerife B 1
Cacereno 3
SD Tenisca 0
Jerez Industrial 2
Mirandes 4