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Stadium Background

Castillo CF vs CD Marino

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Castillo CF and CD Marino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Castillo CF
30%
Draws
23%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Marino come out ahead of Castillo CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Castillo CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF CD Marino
Matches Played 36 48
Wins 13 17
Draws 15 16
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Castillo CF
2:1
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs CD Marino
2:1
Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs CD Marino
2:0
Dec 7, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Castillo CF
2:1
Mar 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs CD Marino
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 85 / 100
CD Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castillo CF's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

CD Marino has conceded goals in 71% of their last 48 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Castillo CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Marino
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 8

CD Marino

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)