Sport Picks
Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 game between Castillo CF and Orientacion Maritima finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castillo CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castillo CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Castillo CF haven't matched Orientacion Maritima's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Castillo CF taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
Orientacion Maritima Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castillo CF | Orientacion Maritima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima
3:0
Oct 31, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
0:0
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Orientacion Maritima
2:0
Jan 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
1:0
Feb 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Castillo CF
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castillo CF 85 / 100
Orientacion Maritima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castillo CF Orientacion Maritima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orientacion Maritima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Castillo CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Castillo CF's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Orientacion Maritima
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castillo CF
(Home) 09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
26 Mar
Castillo CF
3 : 2 Las Palmas B
17 Mar
Castillo CF
3 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
06 Mar
Castillo CF
0 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
Orientacion Maritima
(Away) 15 May
UD Realejos
2 : 5 Orientacion Maritima
08 May
Orientacion Maritima
1 : 1 Atletico Granadilla
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
21 Apr
Orientacion Maritima
0 : 0 Las Zocas
17 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
Page 1 of 8
15 May
UD Realejos
2 : 5 Orientacion Maritima
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
17 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
06 Apr
CD Marino
2 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
26 Mar
AD Huracan
0 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corralejo | 41 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 56:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Las Palmas B | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 67:38 | 74 |
| 3 | Pajara Playas | 41 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 64:36 | 74 |
| 4 | CD Marino | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 65:39 | 70 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 41 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 59:36 | 68 |
| 6 | Atletico Granadilla | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 55:48 | 68 |
| 7 | Villa Santa Brigida | 41 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 42:29 | 60 |
| 8 | UD Realejos | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 45:43 | 56 |
| 9 | AD Huracan | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 42:40 | 55 |
| 10 | SD Tenisca | 41 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 11 | Tijarafe | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 51:53 | 52 |
| 12 | Castillo CF | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 46:50 | 50 |
| 13 | Orientacion Maritima | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 44:55 | 50 |
| 14 | Teror | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 46:53 | 49 |
| 15 | CD Laguna | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 41:54 | 47 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 38:53 | 47 |
| 17 | Victoria CD | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 37:44 | 47 |
| 18 | CD Charco Del Pino | 41 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 39:50 | 46 |
| 19 | Galdar | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 34:62 | 40 |
| 20 | Los Llanos | 41 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 33:58 | 36 |
| 21 | Univ. Las Palmas B | 41 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 44:73 | 32 |
| 22 | Fuerteventura | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
