Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Cunningham M.
11'
11'
Murtagh D.
16'
16'
Hughes E.
AI Match Summary
Longford in this FAI Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Castlebar Celtic haven't matched Longford's recent run of results.
- Model gives Castlebar Celtic a 36% chance of winning this.
- Longford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Longford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castlebar Celtic | Longford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2025 FAI Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Longford
3:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castlebar Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunningham M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hughes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Longford Compare
Top Goalscorer Murtagh D.
3 Goals Assists Leader George D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castlebar Celtic 34 / 100
Longford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castlebar Celtic Longford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 9.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Castlebar Celtic scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.
Longford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Castlebar Celtic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Castlebar Celtic VS Longford
0.5 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Castlebar Celtic
(Home) 15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
13 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 3 Finn Harps
23 Mar
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 0 Salthill
25 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 1 Ringmahon Rangers
Page 1 of 2
Longford
(Away) 05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1 Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2 Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2 Bray
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0 Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1 Longford
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2 Longford
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0 Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1 Longford
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1 Longford
18 Jul
Baldoyle Utd.
0 : 8 Longford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
