Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Castrense

0 - 5

Lusitania FC

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Pereira M.

54'

Pereira M.

70'

Arsenio

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Lusitania FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Castrense

17%

Draws

70%

Lusitania FC

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Lusitania FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Lusitania FC a 70% chance of winning this.
Lusitania FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lusitania FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Castrense Clean Sheet 23%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castrense	Lusitania FC
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	6	11
Draws	9	5
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Taça de Portugal

Castrense vs Lusitania FC

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castrense Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Arsenio

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrense 16 / 100

Lusitania FC 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castrense Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Lusitania FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Castrense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrense

(Home)

20 Sept

Castrense

0 : 5

Lusitania FC

31 Aug

Castrense

1 : 0

CDR Quarteirense

22 Sept

Moura AC

4 : 2

Castrense

24 Sept

Castrense

0 : 3

Vila Mea

10 Sept

Castrense

1 : 0

Penedo Gordo

Page 1 of 6

Lusitania FC

(Away)

18 Jul

Lusitania FC

0 : 2

Braga B

15 Jul

Famalicao

1 : 0

Lusitania FC

17 May

Leixoes

2 : 1

Lusitania FC

09 May

Lusitania FC

1 : 2

Torreense

02 May

Oliveirense

0 : 0

Lusitania FC

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Florgrade0

SC Espinho1

TBD-

Almodovar-

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Industria1

Juv. Evora0

SC Salgueiros4

AD Pontassolense2

Trofense5

Varzim1

Valenciano1

SC Vianense4

GD Os Nazarenos1

GD Sourense0

TBD-

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Moncarapachense3

Viana Alentejo0

Castro Daire1

Anadia2

Marinhense2

Samora Correia1

TBD-

Mosteirense-

Uniao Lamas-

TBD-

Urzelinense0

Malveira6

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Carregal do Sal1

Mortagua FC2

Academica0

Os Marialvas1

Portimonense B-

TBD-

Penafiel-

Fornos de Algodres-

TBD-

Charneca Caparica1

Montijo0

TBD-

AFS-

Portalegrense-

TBD-

Academico Viseu-

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Celoricense1

CD Celeiros0

TBD-

Mafra-

TBD-

FC Porto-

Sintrense-

TBD-

Vizela-

TBD-

Rio Ave-

CF Os Belenenses1

Amora0

TBD-

Maritimo-

TBD-

Estoril-

Sao Joao de Ver-

TBD-

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira2

Lagoa1

TBD-

Famalicao-

Cinfaes0

AD Marco 091

SC Lusitania0

O Elvas CAD3

Vidago-

TBD-

SC Farense-

Silves FC-

TBD-

Oliveira Hospital-

Louletano-

TBD-

Operario-

Atletico CP-

TBD-

Rebordosa2

Leca0

Sanjoanense-

TBD-

FC Felgueiras-

Paredes-

TBD-

Chaves-

TBD-

Benfica-

UD Ovarense7

SC Celoricense1

TBD-

Covilha-

Uniao Nogueirense-

TBD-

Aguias do Moradal-

CD Lajense1

Lusitano GC7

Serpa3

Portel0

Fayal0

Olivais e Moscavide5

TBD-

Uniao Da Serra-

Oriental2

GD Alcochetense1

TBD-

AD Fafe-

TBD-

Moreirense-

Vitoria Sernache-

TBD-

Portimonense-

TBD-

Arouca-

Sao Martinho1

Machico2

SC Vila Real3

Camacha2

TBD-

Tondela-

Caldas SC4

AD Portomosense0

TBD-

Fatima-

Fazendense-

TBD-

SC Mirandela-

GD Braganca-

TBD-

Maria de Fonte1

Brito2

TBD-

Braga-

Rebordelo-

TBD-

CD Gouveia4

Beira Mar2

TBD-

Nacional-

FC Alpendorada-

TBD-

Estrela Calheta-

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

Anca-

TBD-

Vinhais-

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Castrense1

CDR Quarteirense0

TBD-

Lusitania FC-

GD Resende-

TBD-

Feirense-

Correlha2

Valpacos0

TBD-

Torreense-

Vilaverdense FC0

Desportivo Moncao1

TBD-

Oliveirense-

AD Limianos-

TBD-

Aparecida1

Vila Mea3

Vila Caiz1

CD Ribeira Brava0

TBD-

Electrico FC-

Tirsense1

Amarante FC2

TBD-

Santarem-

Naval 18933

Ac. Fundao0

TBD-

Leixoes-

GD Peniche8

Ferreira do Zezere0

Lajense0

1º Dezembro1

SB Castelo Branco-

TBD-

SC Angrense-

Sacavenense7

CD Rabo Peixe0

TBD-

Leiria-

TBD-

Alverca-

1/64-finals

SC Espinho5

Almodovar1

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Industria4

SC Salgueiros2

Trofense2

SC Vianense3

GD Os Nazarenos0

Pacos Ferreira1

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Moncarapachense1

Anadia2

Marinhense6

Mosteirense0

Uniao Lamas2

Malveira1

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Mortagua FC1

Os Marialvas0

Portimonense B2

Penafiel1

Fornos de Algodres3

Charneca Caparica1

TBD-

AFS-

Portalegrense0

Academico Viseu3

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Celoricense1

Mafra0

TBD-

FC Porto-

Sintrense2

Vizela1

TBD-

Rio Ave-

CF Os Belenenses2

Maritimo0

TBD-

Estoril-

Sao Joao de Ver6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira2

TBD-

Famalicao-

AD Marco 091

O Elvas CAD0

Vidago0

SC Farense2

Silves FC3

Oliveira Hospital2

Louletano5

Operario0

Atletico CP1

Rebordosa0

Sanjoanense0

FC Felgueiras4

Paredes0

Chaves2

TBD-

Benfica-

UD Ovarense2

Covilha3

Uniao Nogueirense1

Aguias do Moradal0

Lusitano GC1

Serpa0

Olivais e Moscavide2

Uniao Da Serra0

Oriental0

AD Fafe1

TBD-

Moreirense-

Vitoria Sernache1

Portimonense2

TBD-

Arouca-

Machico0

SC Vila Real2

TBD-

Tondela-

Caldas SC3

Fatima0

Fazendense1

SC Mirandela2

GD Braganca5

Brito0

TBD-

Braga-

Rebordelo3

CD Gouveia2

TBD-

Nacional-

FC Alpendorada7

Estrela Calheta1

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

Anca3

Vinhais1

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Castrense0

Lusitania FC5

GD Resende1

Feirense0

Correlha1

Torreense3

Desportivo Moncao1

Oliveirense3

AD Limianos0

Vila Mea4

Vila Caiz3

Electrico FC2

Amarante FC2

Santarem0

Naval 18930

Leixoes1

GD Peniche4

1º Dezembro5

SB Castelo Branco7

SC Angrense1

Sacavenense2

Leiria4

TBD-

Alverca-

1/32-finals

SC Espinho0

Santa Clara1

Industria3

SC Vianense0

Pacos Ferreira2

Sporting CP3

Anadia0

Marinhense1

Uniao Lamas0

Vitoria Guimaraes1

Mortagua FC2

Portimonense B0

Fornos de Algodres0

AFS7

Academico Viseu2

Gil Vicente1

Celoricense0

FC Porto4

Sintrense3

Rio Ave2

CF Os Belenenses1

Estoril2

Sao Joao de Ver0

Famalicao3

AD Marco 090

SC Farense3

Silves FC2

Louletano1

Atletico CP2

FC Felgueiras0

Chaves0

Benfica2

Covilha1

Uniao Nogueirense0

Lusitano GC4

Olivais e Moscavide1

AD Fafe1

Moreirense0

Portimonense1

Arouca2

SC Vila Real1

Tondela5

Caldas SC1

SC Mirandela0

GD Braganca0

Braga1

Rebordelo1

Nacional3

FC Alpendorada3

Estrela da Amadora1

Anca0

Casa Pia3

Lusitania FC2

GD Resende0

Torreense2

Oliveirense1

Vila Mea1

Vila Caiz0

Amarante FC1

Leixoes2

1º Dezembro2

SB Castelo Branco1

Leiria3

Alverca2

1/16-finals

Santa Clara3

Industria0

Sporting CP3

Marinhense0

Vitoria Guimaraes4

Mortagua FC0

AFS1

Academico Viseu0

FC Porto3

Sintrense0

Estoril1

Famalicao2

SC Farense5

Silves FC1

Atletico CP0

Benfica2

Covilha0

Lusitano GC2

AD Fafe2

Arouca1

Tondela0

Caldas SC1

Braga4

Nacional2

FC Alpendorada0

Casa Pia3

Lusitania FC0

Torreense1

Vila Mea2

Leixoes1

1º Dezembro1

Leiria3

1/8-finals

Santa Clara2

Sporting CP3

Vitoria Guimaraes0

AFS1

FC Porto4

Famalicao1

SC Farense0

Benfica2

Lusitano GC0

AD Fafe1

Caldas SC0

Braga3

Casa Pia1

Torreense2

Vila Mea0

Leiria1

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP3

AFS2

FC Porto1

Benfica0

AD Fafe2

Braga1

Torreense3

Leiria1

Semi-finals

Sporting CP1

FC Porto0

AD Fafe1

Torreense3

Final

Sporting CP1

Torreense2