Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Castro Daire and Ferreira de Aves finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro Daire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Castro Daire
15%
Draws
53%
Ferreira de Aves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro Daire come out ahead of Ferreira de Aves on wins alone.
  • Castro Daire are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Castro Daire have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 20%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire Ferreira de Aves
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
3:0
Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 36 / 100
Ferreira de Aves 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire Ferreira de Aves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferreira de Aves let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Castro Daire's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Castro Daire has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
08 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 1
GD Resende
Page 1 of 7

Ferreira de Aves

(Away)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
Page 1 of 6