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Castro Daire vs GD Resende

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Castro Daire Logo

Castro Daire

3 - 1
FT
GD Resende Logo

GD Resende

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Castro Daire and GD Resende finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro Daire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Castro Daire
20%
Draws
46%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro Daire haven't matched GD Resende's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 24%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire GD Resende
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs GD Resende
3:1
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Castro Daire
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 37 / 100
GD Resende 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Resende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

GD Resende has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Castro Daire scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Castro Daire stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS GD Resende
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
08 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 1
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)