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Castro vs Atletico Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ruiz D.
15' Event
Esteban E.
50'
Hernando A.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Mineros in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Mineros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Castro
20%
Draws
44%
Atletico Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Castro have won more games recently than Atletico Mineros.
  • Win probability leans Castro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Atletico Mineros
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Atletico Mineros
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs Castro
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Atletico Mineros
2:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs Castro
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Atletico Mineros
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Atletico Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esteban E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 42 / 100
Atletico Mineros 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Atletico Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Mineros conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Castro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS Atletico Mineros
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Mineros

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4
UD Samano
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0
Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)