Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013

Castro

3 - 0

Deportiva Santillana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Castro and Deportiva Santillana finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Castro

Draws

Deportiva Santillana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Deportiva Santillana on wins alone.
Castro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Castro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Castro Clean Sheet 16%

Deportiva Santillana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castro	Deportiva Santillana
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	4
Draws	6	9
Losses	15	17
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Deportiva Santillana

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sep 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Deportiva Santillana vs Castro

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Deportiva Santillana

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Deportiva Santillana vs Castro

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 84 / 100

Deportiva Santillana 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castro Deportiva Santillana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Santillana has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Castro scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Deportiva Santillana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Tropezon	38	25	8	5	87:32	83
2	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	25	8	5	76:27	83
3	Cayon CD	38	20	13	5	50:22	73
4	CD Laredo	38	18	14	6	54:30	68
5	Castro	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Vimenor	38	17	10	11	53:43	61
7	Barreda Balompie	38	17	9	12	50:44	60
8	Santona	38	16	10	12	53:51	58
9	CD Siete Villas	38	15	8	15	48:49	53
10	Guarnizo	38	13	13	12	45:41	52
11	UM Escobedo	38	14	9	15	67:54	51
12	Gama	38	15	5	18	35:42	50
13	Bezana	38	11	14	13	42:47	47
14	Atletico Albericia	38	12	11	15	50:51	47
15	Pontejos	38	13	8	17	45:55	47
16	Ribamontan al Mar	38	11	12	15	42:51	45
17	Deportiva Santillana	38	9	9	20	43:65	36
18	Textil Escudo	38	8	6	24	35:69	30
19	Escuela Meruelo	38	5	7	26	33:85	22
20	San Martin Arena	38	2	6	30	16:85	12