Sport Picks
Castro vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
Martins C.
30'
30'
Garcia Hernandez H.
53'
53'
Cabieces E.
AI Match Summary
Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gimnastic de Torrelavega lately — more wins on the board than Castro.
- Castro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnastic de Torrelavega have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Castro Clean Sheet 14%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castro | Gimnastic de Torrelavega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 2.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.18 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Castro
4:0
Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:8
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Castro
3:2
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Castro
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castro Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cabieces E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Hernandez H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castro 48 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castro Gimnastic de Torrelavega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Castro scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Castro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Gimnastic de Torrelavega has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Castro VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0.86 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Castro
(Home) 19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2 Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0 Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0 Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2 CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0 Castro
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0 Solares
09 May
Castro
0 : 2 CD Tropezon
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1 Guarnizo
29 Mar
Castro
3 : 1 Selaya
Page 1 of 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
(Away) 20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3 Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1 Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2 Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
01 Aug
Gijon
5 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
