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Castro vs Solares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Uriarte J.
61' Event
Lambea A.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Lopez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Castro and Solares finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Castro
30%
Draws
23%
Solares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Solares haven't matched Castro's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Castro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Castro Clean Sheet 68%
Solares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Solares
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
4:0
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Castro
1:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
4:4
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Castro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Uriarte J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Solares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 86 / 100
Solares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Solares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Castro scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Castro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS Solares
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 8

Solares

(Away)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
11 May
Guarnizo
4 : 2
Solares
05 May
Solares
3 : 2
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)