Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Maione V.
86'
86'
Khoris J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Castrovillari and Portici 1906 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Castrovillari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Portici 1906 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Castrovillari taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Portici 1906 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 20%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castrovillari | Portici 1906 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Portici 1906
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Castrovillari
5:0
Mar 2, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Castrovillari
1:0
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Portici 1906
1:2
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Portici 1906
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castrovillari Compare
Top Goalscorer Khoris J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Portici 1906 Compare
Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castrovillari 76 / 100
Portici 1906 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castrovillari Portici 1906
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portici 1906 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Castrovillari found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Portici 1906's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Castrovillari VS Portici 1906
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Castrovillari
(Home) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1 San Luca
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1 San Luca
24 Mar
Castrovillari
0 : 1 AS Acireale
10 Mar
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 3
Portici 1906
(Away) 05 May
Akragas
1 : 0 Portici 1906
28 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 1 Vibonese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
14 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 5 Trapani
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0 Portici 1906
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Akragas
1 : 0 Portici 1906
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0 Portici 1906
24 Mar
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 3 Portici 1906
03 Mar
Siracusa
2 : 0 Portici 1906
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapani | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 95:15 | 94 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 79:26 | 81 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 67:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Reggina | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:25 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:41 | 54 |
| 6 | S. Agata | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Casalnuovo | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:38 | 50 |
| 9 | Canicatti | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 55:51 | 48 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Licata | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Akragas | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 42 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:55 | 32 |
| 15 | San Luca | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 37:55 | 29 |
| 16 | Locri 1909 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Castrovillari | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 29:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Nuova Gioiese | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18:80 | 11 |
| 19 | Lamezia Terme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)