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Castrumfavara vs Enna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Own Goal
39' Event
Distratto D.
45' Event
Tchaouna F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Castrumfavara
35%
Draws
10%
Enna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castrumfavara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Castrumfavara have won more games recently than Enna.
  • Win probability leans Castrumfavara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Castrumfavara Clean Sheet 68%
Enna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrumfavara Enna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Enna
2:2
Jan 7, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Enna vs Castrumfavara
3:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Enna vs Castrumfavara
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Enna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castrumfavara Compare

Top Goalscorer Etchegoyen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Enna Compare

Top Goalscorer Distratto D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tchaouna F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrumfavara 95 / 100
Enna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrumfavara Enna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castrumfavara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Enna let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Castrumfavara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Castrumfavara found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Castrumfavara VS Enna
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrumfavara

(Home)
03 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 2
Enna
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Athletic Palermo
0 : 3
Castrumfavara
02 Apr
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
AS Acireale
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Enna

(Away)
03 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 2
Enna
26 Apr
Enna
0 : 1
Gelbison
19 Apr
Nissa
3 : 0
Enna
15 Apr
Reggina
2 : 1
Enna
12 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)