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Castrumfavara vs Licata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Castrumfavara Logo

Castrumfavara

0 - 0
FT
Licata Logo

Licata

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Castrumfavara
20%
Draws
17%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castrumfavara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castrumfavara lately — more wins on the board than Licata.
  • Castrumfavara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castrumfavara Clean Sheet 16%
Licata Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrumfavara Licata
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Licata
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Licata
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Castrumfavara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrumfavara 84 / 100
Licata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrumfavara Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Castrumfavara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Castrumfavara scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Licata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Castrumfavara VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrumfavara

(Home)
03 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 2
Enna
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Athletic Palermo
0 : 3
Castrumfavara
02 Apr
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 7

Licata

(Away)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)