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Castrumfavara vs Licata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Castrumfavara
20%
Draws
74%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Licata at 1.11 per game, Castrumfavara at 1.1.
  • Licata are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castrumfavara Clean Sheet 19%
Licata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrumfavara Licata
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Licata
1:1
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Licata
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Licata
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Castrumfavara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrumfavara 10 / 100
Licata 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrumfavara Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castrumfavara's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Licata let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Castrumfavara has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castrumfavara VS Licata
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrumfavara

(Home)
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1
Calcio Avola
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 7

Licata

(Away)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)