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Castuera vs CF Trujillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Quintero J.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Silgado A. A.
69' Event
Manzano J.

AI Match Summary

CF Trujillo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Trujillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Castuera
15%
Draws
42%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castuera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Castuera have won more games recently than CF Trujillo.
  • Win probability leans Castuera's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Castuera Clean Sheet 18%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castuera CF Trujillo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CF Trujillo
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Castuera
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Castuera
2:0
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CF Trujillo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castuera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CF Trujillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Silgado A. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manzano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castuera 58 / 100
CF Trujillo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castuera CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castuera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Trujillo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Castuera scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CF Trujillo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castuera VS CF Trujillo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castuera

(Home)
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0
Castuera
11 May
CD Badajoz
1 : 0
Castuera
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
Page 1 of 6

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)