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Stadium Background

Castuera vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Blanco B.
46' Event
Diallo M.
50'
Rodriguez Sosa J.

AI Match Summary

Castuera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castuera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Castuera
15%
Draws
34%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castuera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castuera at 1.48 per game, Gevora at 0.9.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Castuera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castuera Clean Sheet 20%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castuera Gevora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs Gevora
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castuera Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guillen G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castuera 85 / 100
Gevora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castuera Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castuera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Castuera scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gevora has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Gevora's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castuera VS Gevora
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castuera

(Home)
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0
Castuera
11 May
CD Badajoz
1 : 0
Castuera
Page 1 of 6

Gevora

(Away)
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Moralo 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
3 AD Llerenense 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
4 Puebla de la Calzada 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
5 Castuera 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
6 CD Zafra 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Santa Amalia 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
8 Jerez CF 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Gevora 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
10 Cabeza del Buey 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
11 Villanovense 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 Montijo 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 SP Villafranca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
14 Pueblonuevo 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
15 Jaraiz 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
16 Quintana 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 UP Plasencia 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
18 Guadiana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)