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Stadium Background

Castuera vs SP Villafranca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Escandon E.
46' Event
Canero A.
69' Event
Yaw L. J.

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Castuera
6%
Draws
90%
SP Villafranca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Castuera haven't matched SP Villafranca's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SP Villafranca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Castuera Clean Sheet 20%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castuera SP Villafranca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs SP Villafranca
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Castuera
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Castuera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castuera Compare

Top Goalscorer Canero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Escandon E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaw L. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castuera 10 / 100
SP Villafranca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castuera SP Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castuera scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SP Villafranca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Castuera stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SP Villafranca
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura34236573:2275
2CD Azuaga342011365:2871
3Jaraiz34216765:4069
4AD Llerenense34215858:2868
5CD Badajoz341712554:2063
6CD Diocesano341771058:3858
7Santa Amalia341661231:3154
8Jerez CF341491150:4851
9SP Villafranca341451555:5547
10Moralo341371452:5046
11Montijo3411121135:3445
12Pueblonuevo34991642:7136
13CD Calamonte34891736:4833
14Puebla de la Calzada347111635:5632
15Castuera34781946:6429
16CF Trujillo346101832:6328
17Arroyo34572232:7022
18Olivenza FC34382326:7917