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Catalca Spor vs Nevsehir Prediction & H2H Stats

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3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Ates C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 game between Catalca Spor and Nevsehir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catalca Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Catalca Spor
20%
Draws
48%
Nevsehir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nevsehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Catalca Spor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catalca Spor a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 68%
Nevsehir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catalca Spor Nevsehir
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Catalca Spor vs Nevsehir
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Nevsehir vs Catalca Spor
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Nevsehir vs Catalca Spor
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Catalca Spor vs Nevsehir
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Nevsehir vs Catalca Spor
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catalca Spor 95 / 100
Nevsehir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catalca Spor Nevsehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catalca Spor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catalca Spor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nevsehir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nevsehir registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nevsehir
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catalca Spor

(Home)
27 Apr
Catalca Spor
1 : 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
21 Apr
Adana 01
3 : 1
Catalca Spor
14 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
07 Apr
Cankaya FK
1 : 1
Catalca Spor
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
Page 1 of 6

Nevsehir

(Away)
26 Apr
Nevsehir
3 : 0
Adiyaman FK
20 Apr
Mazidagi
9 : 0
Nevsehir
13 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
6 : 0
Nevsehir
06 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Balikesirspor
02 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)