Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanduva FC vs Desportivo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanduva FC play Desportivo in the Paulista A3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Catanduva FC averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1 conceded. Desportivo averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Catanduva FC won 2, Desportivo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Catanduva FC and 0.69 for Desportivo. This points to a Catanduva FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Catanduva FC
28%
Draws
30%
Desportivo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Catanduva FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Catanduva FC picked up more points recently compared to Desportivo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 28%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduva FC Desportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Desportivo
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Catanduva FC
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Desportivo
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Catanduva FC
0:1
Jan 24, 2024 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Desportivo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduva FC 43 / 100
Desportivo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduva FC Desportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Catanduva FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Catanduva FC attacking → ← attacking Desportivo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanduva FC scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Desportivo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Catanduva FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 33
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285