Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanduva FC vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanduva FC play Rio Preto EC in the Paulista A3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Catanduva FC averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1 conceded. Rio Preto EC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Catanduva FC won 0, Rio Preto EC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Catanduva FC and 1.56 for Rio Preto EC. This points to a Rio Preto EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Catanduva FC
34%
Draws
34%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Catanduva FC picked up more points recently compared to Rio Preto EC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 15%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduva FC Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Rio Preto EC
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Catanduva FC
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Rio Preto EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanduva FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Franklin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vieira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Messias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teixeira I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduva FC 32 / 100
Rio Preto EC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduva FC Rio Preto EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rio Preto EC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Catanduva FC attacking → ← attacking Rio Preto EC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanduva FC scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Rio Preto EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Catanduva FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Preto EC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 44
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285