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Catanduva FC vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanduva FC play Uniao Sao Joao in the Paulista A3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Catanduva FC averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Uniao Sao Joao averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Catanduva FC won 1, Uniao Sao Joao won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Catanduva FC and 0.94 for Uniao Sao Joao. This points to a Uniao Sao Joao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Catanduva FC
44%
Draws
20%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Catanduva FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A3 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 24%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduva FC Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:2
Mar 5, 2025 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Catanduva FC
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Catanduva FC
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 Paulista A4
Catanduva FC vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanduva FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Costa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduva FC 37 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduva FC Uniao Sao Joao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanduva FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Uniao Sao Joao let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Catanduva FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Sao Joao lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catanduva FC VS Uniao Sao Joao
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285