Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Hiago
56'
56'
Hiago
79'
79'
Niltton I.
AI Match Summary
Independente SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Independente SP have won more games recently than Catanduvense.
- Model gives Independente SP a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Independente SP here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catanduvense | Independente SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.46 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Catanduvense
17:0
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
0:4
Apr 5, 2017 Paulista A3
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
3:2
Feb 21, 2015 Paulista A2
Catanduvense vs Independente SP
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catanduvense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23
Independente SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Hiago
2 Goals Assists Leader Niltton I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catanduvense 10 / 100
Independente SP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catanduvense Independente SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 7.75 goals.
Independente SP let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.
Catanduvense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Independente SP has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Catanduvense VS Independente SP
0.29 Goals Scored 3.88
8 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Catanduvense
(Home) 20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
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14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
17 May
Catanduvense
0 : 4 Independente SP
26 Apr
Catanduvense
1 : 2 Sao Carlos
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Independente SP
(Away) 02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
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25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
