Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanduvense vs Matonense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Matheus
8' Event
Vinicius E.
9' Event
da Silva K.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Catanduvense and Matonense finished 0-13, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Catanduvense
15%
Draws
85%
Matonense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Matonense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Matonense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Matonense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Matonense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduvense Matonense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.5 3.25
Goals Conceded 5.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Catanduvense vs Matonense
0:13
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Catanduvense
3:1
Jun 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Matonense
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Catanduvense
2:1
Apr 2, 2017 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Catanduvense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanduvense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Matonense Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius E.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduvense 10 / 100
Matonense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduvense Matonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matonense has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Catanduvense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Matonense has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanduvense VS Matonense
0.5 Goals Scored 3.25
5.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanduvense

(Home)
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0
Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13
Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0
Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5
Santacruzense
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Matonense

(Away)
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)