Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Caturano S.
44'
44'
Forte F.
46'
46'
Sub
Del Sole F. In: Silipo A.
Out: Del Sole F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Catania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Catania haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
- Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Ascoli
2:1
May 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Catania
4:0
Aug 4, 2010 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Catania
1:2
May 2, 2007 Serie A
Catania vs Ascoli
3:3
Dec 3, 2006 Serie A
Ascoli vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Caturano S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forte F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Oviszach E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 50 / 100
Ascoli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Catania scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Ascoli has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Ascoli
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2 Inter U23
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
