Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Caturano S.
44'
44'
Forte F.
46'
46'
Sub
Del Sole F. In: Silipo A.
Out: Del Sole F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Catania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Catania haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Ascoli taking it.
- Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Catania Clean Sheet 13%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Ascoli
2:1
May 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Catania
4:0
Aug 4, 2010 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Catania
1:2
May 2, 2007 Serie A
Catania vs Ascoli
3:3
Dec 3, 2006 Serie A
Ascoli vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Caturano S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forte F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Oviszach E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 27 / 100
Ascoli 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 26 matches.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Ascoli
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
19 Apr
Catania
1 : 1 Potenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2 Picerno
23 Mar
Catania
1 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
Page 1 of 6
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0 Ascoli
26 Apr
Campobasso
1 : 0 Ascoli
11 Apr
Forli FC
0 : 3 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4
