Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs Giugliano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Quaini A.
46'
Sub
Quaini A. In: D'Ausilio M.
Out: Quaini A.
60'
Sub
Peluso L. In: Romano A.
Out: Peluso L.

AI Match Summary

Catania in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Catania
40%
Draws
29%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Giugliano haven't matched Catania's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Catania here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Catania Clean Sheet 20%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Giugliano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Giugliano
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Catania
0:3
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Giugliano
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Giugliano
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Catania
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ausilio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Giugliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 32 / 100
Giugliano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Catania found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Giugliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Giugliano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1
Giugliano
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0
Crotone
29 Mar
Casarano
2 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)