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Catania vs Picerno Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
D'Ausilio M.
21'
Bellodi G.
25' Event
Abreu L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Picerno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Catania
15%
Draws
32%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Picerno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Catania are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Picerno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Picerno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
2:4
Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ausilio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 86 / 100
Picerno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catania scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Catania remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Picerno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)