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Stadium Background

Catania vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
D'Ausilio M.
21'
Bellodi G.
25' Event
Abreu L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Picerno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Catania
39%
Draws
30%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Catania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Catania Clean Sheet 22%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Picerno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
0:0
Feb 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ausilio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 32 / 100
Picerno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Picerno
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
29 Mar
Picerno
0 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)