Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
D'Auria G.
45'
45'
Quaini A.
46'
46'
Sub
Bruzzaniti G. In: Lunetta G.
Out: Bruzzaniti G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Potenza finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Catania on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Catania Clean Sheet 11%
Potenza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Potenza
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Catania
1:1
May 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Potenza
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Catania
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Potenza
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Potenza Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Auria G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 38 / 100
Potenza 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Potenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catania's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Potenza has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Potenza
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2 Inter U23
Page 1 of 3
Potenza
(Away) 27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4 Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4 Potenza
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2 Potenza
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
