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Stadium Background

Catania vs Potenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
D'Auria G.
45'
Quaini A.
46'
Sub
Bruzzaniti G. In: Lunetta G.
Out: Bruzzaniti G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Potenza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Catania
20%
Draws
38%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Potenza come out ahead of Catania on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Catania Clean Sheet 13%
Potenza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Potenza
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Potenza
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Catania
1:1
May 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Potenza
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Catania
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Potenza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Auria G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 40 / 100
Potenza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Potenza has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Potenza
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)