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Catania vs Sorrento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catania host Sorrento in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Catania at 1.21 goals for, 1.34 against; Sorrento at 1.14 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Sorrento slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.13, favoring Sorrento. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Catania
30%
Draws
23%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Catania haven't matched Sorrento's recent run of results.
  • Catania are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Catania Clean Sheet 20%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Sorrento
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Catania
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Sorrento
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Sorrento
4:0
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Catania
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Catania
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 49 / 100
Sorrento 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Catania went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Sorrento
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
17 Oct
Potenza
2 : 1
Catania
11 Oct
Altamura
0 : 3
Catania
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

Sorrento

(Away)
24 Oct
Inter U23
1 : 1
Sorrento
18 Oct
Sorrento
0 : 0
Casertana
11 Oct
Scafatese
3 : 2
Sorrento
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 11 8 2 1 28:15 26
2 Bari 11 6 3 2 14:7 21
3 Sorrento 11 6 2 3 15:11 20
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Scafatese 10 4 5 1 16:13 17
6 Casertana 11 4 5 2 16:14 17
7 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
8 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
9 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Altamura 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
14 Barletta 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
15 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
16 A.C. Savoia 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 11 1 3 7 9:23 6
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)