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Catanzaro vs Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanzaro host Ascoli in the Serie B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Catanzaro have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Ascoli's 1.67 scored and 0.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Catanzaro slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2024, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Ascoli. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Catanzaro
20%
Draws
58%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Catanzaro haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ascoli a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 15%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Ascoli
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Ascoli
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Catanzaro
1:0
Feb 23, 2014 Lega Pro C1/B
Ascoli vs Catanzaro
0:1
Oct 18, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Catanzaro vs Ascoli
1:1
Feb 6, 2005 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Ascoli
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 19 / 100
Ascoli 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ascoli has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Catanzaro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Ascoli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)