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Catda vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bunyaruguru in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bunyaruguru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Catda
15%
Draws
32%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bunyaruguru lately — more wins on the board than Catda.
  • Win probability leans Catda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Catda Clean Sheet 19%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Catda
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Bunyaruguru
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 67 / 100
Bunyaruguru 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Catda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bunyaruguru lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Catda scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bunyaruguru has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Bunyaruguru
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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