Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catda vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Catda Logo

Catda

2 - 1
FT
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Catda and Ntugasaze finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Catda
15%
Draws
32%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ntugasaze carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catda a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Ntugasaze
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Ntugasaze
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Catda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 58 / 100
Ntugasaze 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Catda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ntugasaze's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Catda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Ntugasaze
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)