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Catda vs Young Elephant

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Catda and Young Elephant finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Catda
20%
Draws
33%
Young Elephant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Elephant come out ahead of Catda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Young Elephant's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Young Elephant
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Young Elephant
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Big League
Young Elephant vs Catda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 24 / 100
Young Elephant 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Young Elephant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Elephant's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Catda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Catda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Young Elephant
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
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Young Elephant

(Away)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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