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Catuense U20 vs Bahia U20

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Baiano U20 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 2022 game between Catuense U20 and Bahia U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Catuense U20
15%
Draws
85%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Catuense U20 haven't matched Bahia U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bahia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bahia U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Catuense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 20
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.2 3.36
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 3.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Catuense U20
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Baiano U20
Catuense U20 vs Bahia U20
1:3
May 8, 2022 Baiano U20
Catuense U20 vs Bahia U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense U20 10 / 100
Bahia U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense U20 Bahia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Catuense U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Bahia U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Bahia U20's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Catuense U20 VS Bahia U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
4.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense U20

(Home)
03 Jun
Catuense U20
1 : 3
Jequie U20
30 May
Vitoria da Conquista U20
9 : 0
Catuense U20
24 May
Catuense U20
1 : 2
Serrano U20
09 May
Barcelona FC U20
2 : 1
Catuense U20
03 May
Catuense U20
1 : 3
Grapiuna U20
Page 1 of 6

Bahia U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8
Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 9 5 4 0 22:6 19
2 Camacariense U20 9 5 4 0 21:9 19
3 Juazeirense U20 9 5 3 1 22:7 18
4 Canaa U20 9 5 3 1 21:9 18
5 ABB U20 9 4 2 3 21:11 14
6 UNIRB U20 9 4 2 3 16:13 14
7 Catuense U20 9 3 1 5 17:15 10
8 Leonico U20 9 2 0 7 5:20 6
9 Doce Mel U20 9 0 1 8 4:32 1
Promotion - Baiano U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 8 7 1 0 24:7 22
2 Jacuipense U20 8 6 1 1 24:6 19
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 8 5 1 2 9:9 16
4 Fluminense de Feira U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
5 Bahia de Feira U20 8 3 2 3 12:7 11
6 Grapiuna U20 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
7 Atlantico EC U20 8 2 0 6 6:18 6
8 Botafogo BA U20 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
9 Barcelona FC U20 8 1 0 7 8:28 3
Promotion - Baiano U20 2022 (Play Offs)