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Catuense U20 vs Serrano U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano U20 in this Baiano U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serrano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Catuense U20
15%
Draws
85%
Serrano U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serrano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catuense U20 lately — more wins on the board than Serrano U20.
  • Serrano U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Catuense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Serrano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense U20 Serrano U20
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 7 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Baiano U20
Catuense U20 vs Serrano U20
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Baiano U20
Serrano U20 vs Catuense U20
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense U20 10 / 100
Serrano U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense U20 Serrano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Catuense U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Serrano U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catuense U20 VS Serrano U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense U20

(Home)
03 Jun
Catuense U20
1 : 3
Jequie U20
30 May
Vitoria da Conquista U20
9 : 0
Catuense U20
24 May
Catuense U20
1 : 2
Serrano U20
09 May
Barcelona FC U20
2 : 1
Catuense U20
03 May
Catuense U20
1 : 3
Grapiuna U20
Page 1 of 6

Serrano U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
5 : 1
Serrano U20
30 May
Serrano U20
0 : 0
Grapiuna U20
24 May
Catuense U20
1 : 2
Serrano U20
09 May
Serrano U20
2 : 1
Jequie U20
02 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Serrano U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams