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Catuense vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catuense in this Baiano 2 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Catuense
6%
Draws
90%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Ypiranga lately — more wins on the board than Catuense.
  • Win probability leans EC Ypiranga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Catuense Clean Sheet 10%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 36 41
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
4:1
Jul 10, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
0:0
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
1:0
May 11, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
0:0
May 12, 2010 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense 10 / 100
EC Ypiranga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense EC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catuense found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: EC Ypiranga conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Catuense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catuense VS EC Ypiranga
1 Goals Scored 0.5
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145