Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Isaias
88' Event
Almeida R.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Caucaia and Atletico Cearense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Caucaia
40%
Draws
29%
Atletico Cearense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense haven't matched Caucaia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Atletico Cearense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Caucaia
1:1
Mar 17, 2025 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Caucaia
0:4
Feb 15, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Atletico Cearense Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 32 / 100
Atletico Cearense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Atletico Cearense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Cearense conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Caucaia scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Atletico Cearense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Atletico Cearense
0.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
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Atletico Cearense

(Away)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)