Sport Picks
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 
Match Events
41'
41'
Suarez L.
60'
60'
Cano N.
88'
88'
Cerro I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Caudal Deportivo and Union Club Ceares finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caudal Deportivo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caudal Deportivo come out ahead of Union Club Ceares on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Caudal Deportivo taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 16%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caudal Deportivo | Union Club Ceares |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.83 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Caudal Deportivo
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
2:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Caudal Deportivo
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caudal Deportivo Compare
Top Goalscorer Suarez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cerro I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92
Union Club Ceares Compare
Top Goalscorer Cano N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caudal Deportivo 36 / 100
Union Club Ceares 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caudal Deportivo Union Club Ceares
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Caudal Deportivo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Union Club Ceares has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Caudal Deportivo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caudal Deportivo VS Union Club Ceares
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Caudal Deportivo
(Home) 04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1 Caudal Deportivo
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0 L Entregu CF
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2 Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0 L Entregu CF
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Leonesa B
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1 Atletico Central
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Covadonga
Page 1 of 3
Union Club Ceares
(Away) 10 Oct
CD Mosconia
2 : 2 Union Club Ceares
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2 EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
CD Mosconia
2 : 2 Union Club Ceares
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2 Union Club Ceares
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Gijon B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 | CD Mosconia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Club Siero | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 6 | CD Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Caudal Deportivo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Lealtad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Langreo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gijon Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Praviano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 12 | EI San Martin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 13 | Union Club Ceares | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 14 | L Entregu CF | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 16 | Aviles Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)
