Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Allen D.
67' Event
Bailey Travolta K. E.
77' Event
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cavalier
30%
Draws
41%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Cavalier.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mount Pleasant here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
1:3
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Mount Pleasant
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailey Travolta K. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 41 / 100
Mount Pleasant 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalier's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mount Pleasant let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cavalier stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Mount Pleasant
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
18 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 2
Cibao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)