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Cavalier vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
McLeary J.
56' Event
Laing J.
63' Event
Ainsworth C.

AI Match Summary

Cavalier in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavalier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cavalier
6%
Draws
4%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cavalier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavalier lately — more wins on the board than Spanish Town Police.
  • Model gives Cavalier a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cavalier here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Spanish Town Police
3:0
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Spanish Town Police
5:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Cavalier
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeary J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laing J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Spanish Town Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 95 / 100
Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Spanish Town Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spanish Town Police let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Away concern: Spanish Town Police has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cavalier's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Spanish Town Police
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Spanish Town Police

(Away)
06 May
Spanish Town Police
0 : 4
Racing United
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
23 Apr
Spanish Town Police
0 : 1
Portmore
20 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)