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Cavalier vs Tivoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cavalier host Tivoli in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tivoli have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Cavalier have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Cavalier have won 2 to Tivoli's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.80 - 1.43) back Cavalier to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cavalier
30%
Draws
47%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tivoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tivoli are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 17%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Tivoli
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
0:2
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Tivoli
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
0:2
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Tivoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 23 / 100
Tivoli 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tivoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalier found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Tivoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cavalier stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Tivoli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
19 Oct
Molynes United
1 : 0
Cavalier
11 Oct
Cavalier
1 : 3
Montego Bay
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
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Tivoli

(Away)
18 Oct
Tivoli
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
12 Oct
Tivoli
3 : 4
Racing United
04 Oct
Tru-Juice FC
0 : 2
Tivoli
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Racing United 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
3 Waterhouse 6 3 3 0 15:2 12
4 Tivoli 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
5 Tru-Juice FC 6 3 2 1 10:3 11
6 Chapelton 6 2 2 2 4:10 8
7 Cavalier 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
8 Molynes United 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
9 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
10 Arnett Gardens 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
11 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 FC Dunbeholden 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
13 Treasure Beach 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
14 Humble Lions 6 0 2 4 2:17 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)