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Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Klomp D.
Assist: Warschewski T.
22' Event
Paton H.
Assist: Camargo S.
24'
Paton H.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Cavalry and Atletico Ottawa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cavalry
30%
Draws
31%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Atletico Ottawa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Klomp D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paton H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Habibullah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 84 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Atletico Ottawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cavalry has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Atletico Ottawa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
15 Aug
Cavalry
2 : 1
Forge FC
09 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Cavalry
02 Aug
Cavalry
5 : 0
Inter Toronto
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
25 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 0
Cavalry
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Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
11 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 3
Supra du Quebec
08 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1
HFX Wanderers
01 Aug
Vancouver FC
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
26 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Pacific FC
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 17 11 4 2 33:10 37
2 Forge FC 16 11 2 3 24:11 35
3 Vancouver FC 17 8 3 6 26:17 27
4 Atletico Ottawa 16 7 3 6 25:29 24
5 Supra du Quebec 15 5 3 7 22:27 18
6 HFX Wanderers 17 4 5 8 21:26 17
7 Inter Toronto 14 3 5 6 16:31 14
8 Pacific FC 16 0 5 11 18:34 5
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)